Specialty Toys Case Study        1. The  pixilated is 20,000 units and there is a 95% probability that demand  allow for be between 10, 000 and 30,000 units. This  meaning there is a .025% chance that the demand will be outside of 10,000 and 30,000.  employ the chart, we find that z=-1.96. Using the  interest calculation, we find:  z= x- ?          ?  -1.96 = 10,000  20,000                                 ?  ?=5102                                                                                 Standard deviation ? = 5,102                                                                 ? = 20,000  mean  2. Stock outs were  reckon by the four  commission numbers.                    equivalence is: z = (x  ?)/ ?  15,000:  Z = (15,000-20,000)/5102                         z = -0.98   Then, reference the cumulative probabilities for  ideal deviation  tabular array in the beginning of the  curb to identify what -0.98 represents, which is .1635. Since stock outs  are any quantity  great than    what management suggested, they need to be subtracted from 1.    1 - .1635 = .8365 which = 83.65%                  Same  system of logic/steps for the rest of the  determine:  18,000                                                         24,000                                                          28,000  Z = (18,000-20,000)/5102                           z=(24,000-20,000)/5102                                 z=(28,000-20,000)/5102  z = -.39                                                                            z=.

78                                                                                    z= 1.57                           1 - .3483 = .6517      !                                              1 - .7823 = .2177                                                      1 .9418 = .0582  which = 65.17%                                                      which = 21.77%                                                         which = 5.82%  3. Projected Profit for management under  common chord scenarios which are 10,000 20,000 and 30,000 units     Order| 10,000 units| 20,000 units| 30,000 units|   15000| 8*10000-11*5000 =$25000| 8*15000=$120000| 8*15000 = $120000|   18000| 8*10000-11*8000= $-8000| 8*18000 = $144000| 8*18000 = $144000|   24000| 8*10000-11*14000= -74000|...If you  involve to get a full essay, order it on our website: 
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